The incumbent Democratic representative holds a commanding position in this El Paso-area district, which carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has shown consistent Democratic support in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s heavily Hispanic demographics, established voting patterns, and limited historical Republican crossover. The Republican nominee advanced through the May primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts remain possible from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national turnout favoring Republicans, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-16 House Election Winner
TX-16 House Election Winner
$19,430 Обс.
$19,430 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,430 Обс.
$19,430 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,998 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$6,433 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative holds a commanding position in this El Paso-area district, which carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has shown consistent Democratic support in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s heavily Hispanic demographics, established voting patterns, and limited historical Republican crossover. The Republican nominee advanced through the May primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts remain possible from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national turnout favoring Republicans, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,430Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative holds a commanding position in this El Paso-area district, which carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has shown consistent Democratic support in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s heavily Hispanic demographics, established voting patterns, and limited historical Republican crossover. The Republican nominee advanced through the May primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts remain possible from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national turnout favoring Republicans, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,430Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Democratic representative holds a commanding position in this El Paso-area district, which carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has shown consistent Democratic support in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s heavily Hispanic demographics, established voting patterns, and limited historical Republican crossover. The Republican nominee advanced through the May primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts remain possible from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national turnout favoring Republicans, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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