US sanctions intensification, including the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” measures launched in late August 2026, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade ties, has sharply curtailed Iran’s oil exports and foreign currency inflows. Parallel-market USD/IRR rates on Bonbast have climbed above 2.0–2.06 million amid 66% annual inflation and a reported 35% drop in trade volumes. These pressures sustain trader consensus that further rial depreciation will push the unofficial rate to 2.2 million or higher by September 30 resolution, with the 2.2M+ bin holding 70.5% implied probability. Recent US-Iran exchanges and oil-price volatility add to the uncertainty around the pace of weakening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
USD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 71%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
2.0-2.1M 11%
1.9-2.0M 8%
$10,758 Обс.
$10,758 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
2%
1.7-1.8M
2%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
8%
2.0-2.1M
11%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
71%
2.2M+ 71%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
2.0-2.1M 11%
1.9-2.0M 8%
$10,758 Обс.
$10,758 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
$511 Обс.
2%
1.7-1.8M
$385 Обс.
2%
1.8-1.9M
$378 Обс.
3%
1.9-2.0M
$1,461 Обс.
8%
2.0-2.1M
$2,647 Обс.
11%
2.1-2.2M
$989 Обс.
11%
2.2M+
$4,387 Обс.
71%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions intensification, including the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” measures launched in late August 2026, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade ties, has sharply curtailed Iran’s oil exports and foreign currency inflows. Parallel-market USD/IRR rates on Bonbast have climbed above 2.0–2.06 million amid 66% annual inflation and a reported 35% drop in trade volumes. These pressures sustain trader consensus that further rial depreciation will push the unofficial rate to 2.2 million or higher by September 30 resolution, with the 2.2M+ bin holding 70.5% implied probability. Recent US-Iran exchanges and oil-price volatility add to the uncertainty around the pace of weakening.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,758Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.US sanctions intensification, including the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” measures launched in late August 2026, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade ties, has sharply curtailed Iran’s oil exports and foreign currency inflows. Parallel-market USD/IRR rates on Bonbast have climbed above 2.0–2.06 million amid 66% annual inflation and a reported 35% drop in trade volumes. These pressures sustain trader consensus that further rial depreciation will push the unofficial rate to 2.2 million or higher by September 30 resolution, with the 2.2M+ bin holding 70.5% implied probability. Recent US-Iran exchanges and oil-price volatility add to the uncertainty around the pace of weakening.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$10,758Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...US sanctions intensification, including the Treasury’s “Operation Economic Outcast” measures launched in late August 2026, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade ties, has sharply curtailed Iran’s oil exports and foreign currency inflows. Parallel-market USD/IRR rates on Bonbast have climbed above 2.0–2.06 million amid 66% annual inflation and a reported 35% drop in trade volumes. These pressures sustain trader consensus that further rial depreciation will push the unofficial rate to 2.2 million or higher by September 30 resolution, with the 2.2M+ bin holding 70.5% implied probability. Recent US-Iran exchanges and oil-price volatility add to the uncertainty around the pace of weakening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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