Banksy’s pattern of releasing politically charged street pieces and installations throughout 2025 and early 2026 underpins the 71% market-implied odds for a new mural or artwork before year-end. Multiple confirmed works appeared in London last December and April, including the Bayswater children mural and the “Blind Patriotism” statue, maintaining the artist’s habit of surprise drops timed to cultural moments or holidays. With four months remaining and a track record of at least one major intervention most years, traders see ample runway for another guerrilla release despite the anonymous creator’s irregular schedule. No major new activity has surfaced in recent weeks, but the precedent of rapid turnarounds around events keeps sentiment tilted toward yes.