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5 thg 9, 2026

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1
icon for Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

65%
48%
2
icon for Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?

67%
29%
3
icon for Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?

Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?

40%
27%
4
icon for Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

24%
27%
5
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

33%
19%
6
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?

78%
18%
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icon for Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

33%
15%
8
icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

5%
15%
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icon for Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?

87%
15%
10
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?

19%
14%
11
icon for Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

55%
13%
12
icon for SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?

SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?

14%
12%
13
icon for Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

26%
10%
14
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

37%
10%
15
icon for Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

45%
10%
16
icon for US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

9%
8%
17
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?

27%
8%
18
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

88%
6%