Intense competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid low presidential approval and Democratic polling advantages, drives trader expectations for elevated 2026 midterm participation. Recent primary turnout signals show stronger Democratic mobilization in many states compared with prior cycles, alongside rising youth registration and early indicators of suburban and independent engagement tied to economic concerns. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes provide a baseline, yet expanded mail voting access and nationalized messaging on policy issues support the market's clustering in the 115-130 million ranges. Close probabilities among leading buckets reflect uncertainty over final base turnout, late-campaign developments, and any enthusiasm gaps that could shift totals in either direction before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 KL.
$28,236 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 19%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 KL.
$28,236 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$603 KL.
1%
85-90m
$609 KL.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 KL.
1%
95-100m
$380 KL.
3%
100-105m
$1,195 KL.
6%
105-110m
$931 KL.
7%
110-115m
$4,475 KL.
14%
115-120m
$4,662 KL.
19%
120-125m
$8,991 KL.
19%
125-130m
$3,301 KL.
23%
130m+
$1,366 KL.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid low presidential approval and Democratic polling advantages, drives trader expectations for elevated 2026 midterm participation. Recent primary turnout signals show stronger Democratic mobilization in many states compared with prior cycles, alongside rising youth registration and early indicators of suburban and independent engagement tied to economic concerns. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes provide a baseline, yet expanded mail voting access and nationalized messaging on policy issues support the market's clustering in the 115-130 million ranges. Close probabilities among leading buckets reflect uncertainty over final base turnout, late-campaign developments, and any enthusiasm gaps that could shift totals in either direction before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,236Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid low presidential approval and Democratic polling advantages, drives trader expectations for elevated 2026 midterm participation. Recent primary turnout signals show stronger Democratic mobilization in many states compared with prior cycles, alongside rising youth registration and early indicators of suburban and independent engagement tied to economic concerns. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes provide a baseline, yet expanded mail voting access and nationalized messaging on policy issues support the market's clustering in the 115-130 million ranges. Close probabilities among leading buckets reflect uncertainty over final base turnout, late-campaign developments, and any enthusiasm gaps that could shift totals in either direction before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$28,236Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid low presidential approval and Democratic polling advantages, drives trader expectations for elevated 2026 midterm participation. Recent primary turnout signals show stronger Democratic mobilization in many states compared with prior cycles, alongside rising youth registration and early indicators of suburban and independent engagement tied to economic concerns. Historical midterm totals of 100-115 million votes provide a baseline, yet expanded mail voting access and nationalized messaging on policy issues support the market's clustering in the 115-130 million ranges. Close probabilities among leading buckets reflect uncertainty over final base turnout, late-campaign developments, and any enthusiasm gaps that could shift totals in either direction before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp