Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent prior margins exceeding 70 percent. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Crawford and Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green to advance directly to the November 3 general election alongside Libertarian Steve Parsons. Crawford’s established fundraising advantage and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus, while Green’s limited resources have constrained visibility. Race forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,840 KL.
$26,840 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
97%
Terri Green (D)
2%
$26,840 KL.
$26,840 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
$16,491 KL.
97%
Terri Green (D)
$10,349 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent prior margins exceeding 70 percent. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Crawford and Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green to advance directly to the November 3 general election alongside Libertarian Steve Parsons. Crawford’s established fundraising advantage and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus, while Green’s limited resources have constrained visibility. Race forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,840Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent prior margins exceeding 70 percent. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Crawford and Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green to advance directly to the November 3 general election alongside Libertarian Steve Parsons. Crawford’s established fundraising advantage and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus, while Green’s limited resources have constrained visibility. Race forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,840Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding lead in the AR-01 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and his consistent prior margins exceeding 70 percent. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Crawford and Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green to advance directly to the November 3 general election alongside Libertarian Steve Parsons. Crawford’s established fundraising advantage and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus, while Green’s limited resources have constrained visibility. Race forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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