Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue seat that Kamala Harris carried by 22 points in 2024. She won the September 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr., and both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries. Grijalva maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition and voter support across the district’s border and rural areas. Butierez, a business owner emphasizing criminal justice reform, faces structural barriers in a district rated Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$32,780 KL.
$32,780 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
5%
$32,780 KL.
$32,780 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
$5,800 KL.
96%
Daniel Butierez (R)
$26,980 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue seat that Kamala Harris carried by 22 points in 2024. She won the September 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr., and both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries. Grijalva maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition and voter support across the district’s border and rural areas. Butierez, a business owner emphasizing criminal justice reform, faces structural barriers in a district rated Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,780Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue seat that Kamala Harris carried by 22 points in 2024. She won the September 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr., and both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries. Grijalva maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition and voter support across the district’s border and rural areas. Butierez, a business owner emphasizing criminal justice reform, faces structural barriers in a district rated Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,780Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue seat that Kamala Harris carried by 22 points in 2024. She won the September 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr., and both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries. Grijalva maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition and voter support across the district’s border and rural areas. Butierez, a business owner emphasizing criminal justice reform, faces structural barriers in a district rated Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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