The early-stage internal contest within Mexico’s ruling 4T coalition is the dominant driver of current trader pricing for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial election. Multiple Morena, PT, and PVEM aspirants registered in June 2026 for the state coordination process that will determine the nominee, with Milena Quiroga Romero (former La Paz mayor) holding the highest implied probability on the strength of her municipal record on water, security, mobility, and digital services. Manuel Cota Cárdenas, Christian Agúndez Gómez, and Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias follow as leading alternatives, while opposition positioning by the PAN and the new Somos MX party adds further fragmentation. No candidate has yet secured a clear path through party mechanisms or polling, leaving the field closely matched until nomination votes or surveys provide clearer separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMilena Quiroga Romero 45%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.5%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 12%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio 9%
$10,119 KL.
$10,119 KL.
Milena Quiroga Romero
45%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
25%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
12%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
9%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
8%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
4%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
3%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
3%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
7%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
5%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
Milena Quiroga Romero 45%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.5%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 12%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio 9%
$10,119 KL.
$10,119 KL.
Milena Quiroga Romero
45%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
25%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
12%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
9%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
8%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
4%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
3%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
3%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
7%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
5%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The early-stage internal contest within Mexico’s ruling 4T coalition is the dominant driver of current trader pricing for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial election. Multiple Morena, PT, and PVEM aspirants registered in June 2026 for the state coordination process that will determine the nominee, with Milena Quiroga Romero (former La Paz mayor) holding the highest implied probability on the strength of her municipal record on water, security, mobility, and digital services. Manuel Cota Cárdenas, Christian Agúndez Gómez, and Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias follow as leading alternatives, while opposition positioning by the PAN and the new Somos MX party adds further fragmentation. No candidate has yet secured a clear path through party mechanisms or polling, leaving the field closely matched until nomination votes or surveys provide clearer separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp