Elon Musk’s recent posting pace positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for the three-day window, reflecting trader tracking of his actual output. Trackers logged just 25 posts across August 29-31, while broader August averages hover near 40-50 daily when replies and quotes are included, producing a three-day total that aligns closely with the leading bin. Weekend and holiday timing around Labor Day further dampens volume, as Musk’s activity often slows when company milestones or news cycles are quiet. The secondary <40 outcome captures the possibility of an even quieter stretch, consistent with occasional low-output periods. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained bursts above 65 would require unusual engagement spikes not signaled by current momentum or upcoming catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 48%
<40 33%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.9%
$69,423 KL.
$69,423 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
<40
33%
40-64
48%
65-89
17%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
<40 33%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.9%
$69,423 KL.
$69,423 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
<40
$11,951 KL.
33%
40-64
$14,846 KL.
48%
65-89
$15,951 KL.
17%
90-114
$5,204 KL.
3%
115-139
$6,495 KL.
1%
140-164
$5,743 KL.
<1%
165-189
$4,522 KL.
<1%
190-214
$2,983 KL.
<1%
215-239
$839 KL.
<1%
240+
$889 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for the three-day window, reflecting trader tracking of his actual output. Trackers logged just 25 posts across August 29-31, while broader August averages hover near 40-50 daily when replies and quotes are included, producing a three-day total that aligns closely with the leading bin. Weekend and holiday timing around Labor Day further dampens volume, as Musk’s activity often slows when company milestones or news cycles are quiet. The secondary <40 outcome captures the possibility of an even quieter stretch, consistent with occasional low-output periods. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained bursts above 65 would require unusual engagement spikes not signaled by current momentum or upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$69,423Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for the three-day window, reflecting trader tracking of his actual output. Trackers logged just 25 posts across August 29-31, while broader August averages hover near 40-50 daily when replies and quotes are included, producing a three-day total that aligns closely with the leading bin. Weekend and holiday timing around Labor Day further dampens volume, as Musk’s activity often slows when company milestones or news cycles are quiet. The secondary <40 outcome captures the possibility of an even quieter stretch, consistent with occasional low-output periods. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained bursts above 65 would require unusual engagement spikes not signaled by current momentum or upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$69,423Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market favorite for the three-day window, reflecting trader tracking of his actual output. Trackers logged just 25 posts across August 29-31, while broader August averages hover near 40-50 daily when replies and quotes are included, producing a three-day total that aligns closely with the leading bin. Weekend and holiday timing around Labor Day further dampens volume, as Musk’s activity often slows when company milestones or news cycles are quiet. The secondary <40 outcome captures the possibility of an even quieter stretch, consistent with occasional low-output periods. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained bursts above 65 would require unusual engagement spikes not signaled by current momentum or upcoming catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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