Florida's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 result where the retiring incumbent secured over 61 percent. Austin Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary against a crowded field and now faces Democrat Amanda Green in the November general election. Forecasters rate the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Rogers above 90 percent. Green's recent fundraising gains have not shifted the structural outlook in this North Florida district. Late developments such as unusually low Republican turnout, a national Democratic surge, or significant candidate-specific controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-02 House Election Winner
FL-02 House Election Winner
$15,793 KL.
$15,793 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
91%
Amanda Green (D)
9%
$15,793 KL.
$15,793 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
$9,846 KL.
91%
Amanda Green (D)
$5,947 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 result where the retiring incumbent secured over 61 percent. Austin Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary against a crowded field and now faces Democrat Amanda Green in the November general election. Forecasters rate the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Rogers above 90 percent. Green's recent fundraising gains have not shifted the structural outlook in this North Florida district. Late developments such as unusually low Republican turnout, a national Democratic surge, or significant candidate-specific controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,793Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 result where the retiring incumbent secured over 61 percent. Austin Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary against a crowded field and now faces Democrat Amanda Green in the November general election. Forecasters rate the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Rogers above 90 percent. Green's recent fundraising gains have not shifted the structural outlook in this North Florida district. Late developments such as unusually low Republican turnout, a national Democratic surge, or significant candidate-specific controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,793Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the 2024 result where the retiring incumbent secured over 61 percent. Austin Rogers secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary against a crowded field and now faces Democrat Amanda Green in the November general election. Forecasters rate the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Rogers above 90 percent. Green's recent fundraising gains have not shifted the structural outlook in this North Florida district. Late developments such as unusually low Republican turnout, a national Democratic surge, or significant candidate-specific controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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