Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate a high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 1 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 43.5% for 34°C. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge maintaining above-average late-summer warmth, with ensemble guidance showing limited variability and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical September 1 highs average near 30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
35°C 53%
34°C 44%
36°C 4.5%
33°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
44%
35°C
53%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 53%
34°C 44%
36°C 4.5%
33°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$769 KL.
<1%
31°C
$243 KL.
<1%
32°C
$740 KL.
<1%
33°C
$744 KL.
3%
34°C
$1,833 KL.
44%
35°C
$2,251 KL.
53%
36°C
$978 KL.
5%
37°C
$274 KL.
<1%
38°C
$321 KL.
<1%
39°C
$158 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$159 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate a high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 1 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 43.5% for 34°C. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge maintaining above-average late-summer warmth, with ensemble guidance showing limited variability and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical September 1 highs average near 30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,470Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate a high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 1 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 43.5% for 34°C. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge maintaining above-average late-summer warmth, with ensemble guidance showing limited variability and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical September 1 highs average near 30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,470Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate a high of 34–35°C in Madrid on September 1 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 43.5% for 34°C. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge maintaining above-average late-summer warmth, with ensemble guidance showing limited variability and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical September 1 highs average near 30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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