Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. The district's R+19 to R+20 partisan lean, combined with Scalise's role as House Majority Leader and substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% Republican price. Louisiana's shift to a November 3, 2026 majority-vote primary under the current map further favors established Republican candidates. A Democratic or independent upset would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Scalise, or sharp turnout shift among suburban voters near New Orleans, none of which current indicators suggest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,244 KL.
$52,244 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$52,244 KL.
$52,244 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 KL.
96%
Democratic Party
$29,844 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. The district's R+19 to R+20 partisan lean, combined with Scalise's role as House Majority Leader and substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% Republican price. Louisiana's shift to a November 3, 2026 majority-vote primary under the current map further favors established Republican candidates. A Democratic or independent upset would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Scalise, or sharp turnout shift among suburban voters near New Orleans, none of which current indicators suggest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. The district's R+19 to R+20 partisan lean, combined with Scalise's role as House Majority Leader and substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% Republican price. Louisiana's shift to a November 3, 2026 majority-vote primary under the current map further favors established Republican candidates. A Democratic or independent upset would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Scalise, or sharp turnout shift among suburban voters near New Orleans, none of which current indicators suggest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. The district's R+19 to R+20 partisan lean, combined with Scalise's role as House Majority Leader and substantial fundraising lead exceeding $10 million, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.3% Republican price. Louisiana's shift to a November 3, 2026 majority-vote primary under the current map further favors established Republican candidates. A Democratic or independent upset would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Scalise, or sharp turnout shift among suburban voters near New Orleans, none of which current indicators suggest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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