Frank Scarpitti maintains a commanding 93.8% implied probability as the frontrunner in the Markham mayoral market, driven by his status as the longest-serving incumbent since his first election in 2006 and consistent re-election margins, including 64% in 2022. Nominations closed in late August 2026 with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross—the latter notable for a prior backyard rink dispute—leaving a limited field ahead of the October 16–26 online vote. Recent visibility from public events and support for provincial housing initiatives has further reinforced his position. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage in a municipal contest where incumbents historically prevail. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unforeseen late developments, health issues, or shifts in local turnout during the voting window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$18,702 KL.
$18,702 KL.
Oct 25, 2026
Frank Scarpitti
94%
Martin Ross
5%
$18,702 KL.
$18,702 KL.
Oct 25, 2026
Frank Scarpitti
$17,816 KL.
94%
Martin Ross
$886 KL.
5%
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti maintains a commanding 93.8% implied probability as the frontrunner in the Markham mayoral market, driven by his status as the longest-serving incumbent since his first election in 2006 and consistent re-election margins, including 64% in 2022. Nominations closed in late August 2026 with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross—the latter notable for a prior backyard rink dispute—leaving a limited field ahead of the October 16–26 online vote. Recent visibility from public events and support for provincial housing initiatives has further reinforced his position. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage in a municipal contest where incumbents historically prevail. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unforeseen late developments, health issues, or shifts in local turnout during the voting window.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,702Ngày kết thúc
Oct 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti maintains a commanding 93.8% implied probability as the frontrunner in the Markham mayoral market, driven by his status as the longest-serving incumbent since his first election in 2006 and consistent re-election margins, including 64% in 2022. Nominations closed in late August 2026 with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross—the latter notable for a prior backyard rink dispute—leaving a limited field ahead of the October 16–26 online vote. Recent visibility from public events and support for provincial housing initiatives has further reinforced his position. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage in a municipal contest where incumbents historically prevail. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unforeseen late developments, health issues, or shifts in local turnout during the voting window.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
Khối lượng
$18,702Ngày kết thúc
Oct 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Frank Scarpitti maintains a commanding 93.8% implied probability as the frontrunner in the Markham mayoral market, driven by his status as the longest-serving incumbent since his first election in 2006 and consistent re-election margins, including 64% in 2022. Nominations closed in late August 2026 with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross—the latter notable for a prior backyard rink dispute—leaving a limited field ahead of the October 16–26 online vote. Recent visibility from public events and support for provincial housing initiatives has further reinforced his position. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage in a municipal contest where incumbents historically prevail. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unforeseen late developments, health issues, or shifts in local turnout during the voting window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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