Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd district with roughly 85 percent of the primary vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus, reinforced by Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage and broad forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Wallace’s limited fundraising and history as a perennial candidate further constrain Republican prospects. A national partisan shift, major scandal, or unforeseen health development involving the incumbent could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s structural baseline and candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$24,629 KL.
$24,629 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Johnny Olszewski (D)
96%
Dave Wallace (R)
5%
$24,629 KL.
$24,629 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Johnny Olszewski (D)
$12,596 KL.
96%
Dave Wallace (R)
$12,034 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd district with roughly 85 percent of the primary vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus, reinforced by Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage and broad forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Wallace’s limited fundraising and history as a perennial candidate further constrain Republican prospects. A national partisan shift, major scandal, or unforeseen health development involving the incumbent could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s structural baseline and candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,629Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd district with roughly 85 percent of the primary vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus, reinforced by Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage and broad forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Wallace’s limited fundraising and history as a perennial candidate further constrain Republican prospects. A national partisan shift, major scandal, or unforeseen health development involving the incumbent could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s structural baseline and candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,629Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd district with roughly 85 percent of the primary vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus, reinforced by Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage and broad forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Wallace’s limited fundraising and history as a perennial candidate further constrain Republican prospects. A national partisan shift, major scandal, or unforeseen health development involving the incumbent could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s structural baseline and candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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