Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$45,882 KL.
$45,882 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
5%
$45,882 KL.
$45,882 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
$20,975 KL.
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
$24,908 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,882Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,882Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the Maryland 3rd congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, her decisive primary victory in June 2026, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Berney Flowers, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces limited resources and weak historical performance for the party in this area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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