Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-06 House Election Winner
MI-06 House Election Winner
$51,051 KL.
$51,051 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Debbie Dingell (D)
96%
Heather Smiley (R)
<1%
$51,051 KL.
$51,051 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Debbie Dingell (D)
$24,038 KL.
96%
Heather Smiley (R)
$27,013 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,051Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$51,051Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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