Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$42,893 KL.
$42,893 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
93%
Doug Chapin (D)
8%
$42,893 KL.
$42,893 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,830 KL.
93%
Doug Chapin (D)
$19,063 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,893Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,893Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there. As House Majority Whip seeking a seventh term, Emmer secured his August primary with over 80% of the vote amid strong party endorsements and substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, major scandal, or health event for the incumbent remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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