Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the NDA coalition retaining a projected parliamentary majority and no scheduled national elections or constitutional triggers for leadership change before 2029. Recent state-level gains, including in West Bengal, have reinforced BJP dominance across most regions, while cabinet adjustments and policy responses to localized protests signal continuity rather than upheaval. Although some mid-2026 surveys noted a modest decline in personal approval ratings amid economic pressures and governance critiques, these have not translated into viable challenges to the government’s stability or Modi’s leadership within the party. Trader consensus on a low probability of his exit by December 31 reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts such as coalition fractures, health developments, or institutional pressures that could force an early departure.