Microsoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, placing the stock near the center of the 490–500 bin that holds the highest market-implied probability at 33%. Recent legal actions from publishers alleging unauthorized use of content to train OpenAI models have weighed on sentiment, while July’s fiscal-fourth-quarter results showed Azure revenue up 43% and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeding 30 million. Analysts maintain a moderate-buy consensus with average 12-month targets near $565–$573, reflecting expectations for continued cloud and AI monetization. With the next earnings release set for late October and no major macro or company-specific catalysts due this week, trading is likely to remain range-bound around current levels absent broader equity-market moves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$490-$500 33%
$480-$490 26%
$500-$510 20%
<$450 9.9%
<$450
10%
$450-$460
7%
$460-$470
7%
$470-$480
9%
$480-$490
26%
$490-$500
33%
$500-$510
20%
$510-$520
8%
$520-$530
7%
$530-$540
6%
>$540
9%
$490-$500 33%
$480-$490 26%
$500-$510 20%
<$450 9.9%
<$450
10%
$450-$460
7%
$460-$470
7%
$470-$480
9%
$480-$490
26%
$490-$500
33%
$500-$510
20%
$510-$520
8%
$520-$530
7%
$530-$540
6%
>$540
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, placing the stock near the center of the 490–500 bin that holds the highest market-implied probability at 33%. Recent legal actions from publishers alleging unauthorized use of content to train OpenAI models have weighed on sentiment, while July’s fiscal-fourth-quarter results showed Azure revenue up 43% and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeding 30 million. Analysts maintain a moderate-buy consensus with average 12-month targets near $565–$573, reflecting expectations for continued cloud and AI monetization. With the next earnings release set for late October and no major macro or company-specific catalysts due this week, trading is likely to remain range-bound around current levels absent broader equity-market moves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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