Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,269,091 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
65%
October 15
22%
$1,269,091 KL.
September 15
$12,250 KL.
3%
September 30
$81,197 KL.
11%
October 31
$16,248 KL.
65%
October 15
$3,312 KL.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,269,091Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,269,091Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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