Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Berlin Governing Mayor because her party leads recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys at roughly 22% ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this momentum plus viable left-leaning arithmetic involving the Greens and SPD. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July 2026 withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over crisis-management criticism shifted the party to finance senator Stefan Evers, who trails at 17% amid CDU polling near 18%. Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), and Kristin Brinker (AfD) register minimal shares aligned with single-digit to low-teens support. Housing affordability and cost-of-living priorities have elevated Eralp’s profile, while coalition formation after the vote remains the key uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 81%
Stefan Evers 18%
Werner Graf 2.6%
Steffen Krach <1%
$43,085 KL.
$43,085 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
81%
Stefan Evers
18%
Werner Graf
3%
Steffen Krach
1%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 81%
Stefan Evers 18%
Werner Graf 2.6%
Steffen Krach <1%
$43,085 KL.
$43,085 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$17,928 KL.
81%
Stefan Evers
$14,049 KL.
18%
Werner Graf
$7,425 KL.
3%
Steffen Krach
$1,448 KL.
1%
Kristin Brinker
$2,234 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Berlin Governing Mayor because her party leads recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys at roughly 22% ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this momentum plus viable left-leaning arithmetic involving the Greens and SPD. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July 2026 withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over crisis-management criticism shifted the party to finance senator Stefan Evers, who trails at 17% amid CDU polling near 18%. Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), and Kristin Brinker (AfD) register minimal shares aligned with single-digit to low-teens support. Housing affordability and cost-of-living priorities have elevated Eralp’s profile, while coalition formation after the vote remains the key uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,085Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Berlin Governing Mayor because her party leads recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys at roughly 22% ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this momentum plus viable left-leaning arithmetic involving the Greens and SPD. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July 2026 withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over crisis-management criticism shifted the party to finance senator Stefan Evers, who trails at 17% amid CDU polling near 18%. Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), and Kristin Brinker (AfD) register minimal shares aligned with single-digit to low-teens support. Housing affordability and cost-of-living priorities have elevated Eralp’s profile, while coalition formation after the vote remains the key uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$43,085Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds an 80.5% implied probability as the next Berlin Governing Mayor because her party leads recent Forsa and Infratest dimap surveys at roughly 22% ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects this momentum plus viable left-leaning arithmetic involving the Greens and SPD. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July 2026 withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over crisis-management criticism shifted the party to finance senator Stefan Evers, who trails at 17% amid CDU polling near 18%. Werner Graf (Greens), Steffen Krach (SPD), and Kristin Brinker (AfD) register minimal shares aligned with single-digit to low-teens support. Housing affordability and cost-of-living priorities have elevated Eralp’s profile, while coalition formation after the vote remains the key uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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