Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence following the June 9 release of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant drives current trader sentiment on the next Mythos-class model. The roughly 11-week interval aligns with the lab’s recent iteration pace on its most capable large language models, which excel at agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as zero-day discovery. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and other labs advancing similar autonomous capabilities adds urgency, while Anthropic continues refining safeguards after restricting earlier Mythos Preview access. Markets currently price the highest implied probability on an early September release, with traders watching for official announcements or limited partner rollouts that could resolve the outcome amid ongoing safety reviews.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$896,948 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
August 31
2%
September 1
47%
September 2
60%
September 4
77%
September 7
80%
September 9
82%
September 15
88%
September 30
93%
October 31
96%
$896,948 KL.
August 31
$368,119 KL.
2%
September 1
$55,180 KL.
47%
September 2
$27,448 KL.
60%
September 4
$21,295 KL.
77%
September 7
$15,540 KL.
80%
September 9
$94,697 KL.
82%
September 15
$52,204 KL.
88%
September 30
$186,884 KL.
93%
October 31
$33,507 KL.
96%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence following the June 9 release of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant drives current trader sentiment on the next Mythos-class model. The roughly 11-week interval aligns with the lab’s recent iteration pace on its most capable large language models, which excel at agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as zero-day discovery. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and other labs advancing similar autonomous capabilities adds urgency, while Anthropic continues refining safeguards after restricting earlier Mythos Preview access. Markets currently price the highest implied probability on an early September release, with traders watching for official announcements or limited partner rollouts that could resolve the outcome amid ongoing safety reviews.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$896,948Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence following the June 9 release of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant drives current trader sentiment on the next Mythos-class model. The roughly 11-week interval aligns with the lab’s recent iteration pace on its most capable large language models, which excel at agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as zero-day discovery. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and other labs advancing similar autonomous capabilities adds urgency, while Anthropic continues refining safeguards after restricting earlier Mythos Preview access. Markets currently price the highest implied probability on an early September release, with traders watching for official announcements or limited partner rollouts that could resolve the outcome amid ongoing safety reviews.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$896,948Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence following the June 9 release of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant drives current trader sentiment on the next Mythos-class model. The roughly 11-week interval aligns with the lab’s recent iteration pace on its most capable large language models, which excel at agentic coding, multi-step reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as zero-day discovery. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and other labs advancing similar autonomous capabilities adds urgency, while Anthropic continues refining safeguards after restricting earlier Mythos Preview access. Markets currently price the highest implied probability on an early September release, with traders watching for official announcements or limited partner rollouts that could resolve the outcome amid ongoing safety reviews.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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