Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois at roughly 28-30% support ahead of the October 5 election, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec (24%), Liberals (22%), and Conservatives (16%), though a Synopsis poll showed the CAQ closing to within one point. Seat models project the PQ winning a plurality in the low-to-mid 40s with wide ranges reflecting multi-party competition and francophone vote concentration. Traders have priced the sub-50 seat band highest because the party’s efficiency gains since 2022 by-elections remain vulnerable to CAQ regional recovery, Liberal strength on Montreal Island, and potential PCQ inroads near Quebec City, while the PQ’s sovereignty referendum pledge has not consolidated broader support. The campaign’s opening days have introduced volatility without shifting the core outlook for a minority outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<50 40%
50-54 19%
55-59 15%
65-69 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<50
40%
50-54
19%
55-59
15%
60-64
9%
65-69
10%
70-74
9%
75-79
3%
80+
4%
<50 40%
50-54 19%
55-59 15%
65-69 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<50
$1,530 KL.
40%
50-54
$937 KL.
19%
55-59
$433 KL.
15%
60-64
$797 KL.
9%
65-69
$2,544 KL.
10%
70-74
$1,706 KL.
9%
75-79
$956 KL.
3%
80+
$839 KL.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois at roughly 28-30% support ahead of the October 5 election, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec (24%), Liberals (22%), and Conservatives (16%), though a Synopsis poll showed the CAQ closing to within one point. Seat models project the PQ winning a plurality in the low-to-mid 40s with wide ranges reflecting multi-party competition and francophone vote concentration. Traders have priced the sub-50 seat band highest because the party’s efficiency gains since 2022 by-elections remain vulnerable to CAQ regional recovery, Liberal strength on Montreal Island, and potential PCQ inroads near Quebec City, while the PQ’s sovereignty referendum pledge has not consolidated broader support. The campaign’s opening days have introduced volatility without shifting the core outlook for a minority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,742Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois at roughly 28-30% support ahead of the October 5 election, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec (24%), Liberals (22%), and Conservatives (16%), though a Synopsis poll showed the CAQ closing to within one point. Seat models project the PQ winning a plurality in the low-to-mid 40s with wide ranges reflecting multi-party competition and francophone vote concentration. Traders have priced the sub-50 seat band highest because the party’s efficiency gains since 2022 by-elections remain vulnerable to CAQ regional recovery, Liberal strength on Montreal Island, and potential PCQ inroads near Quebec City, while the PQ’s sovereignty referendum pledge has not consolidated broader support. The campaign’s opening days have introduced volatility without shifting the core outlook for a minority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$9,742Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois at roughly 28-30% support ahead of the October 5 election, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec (24%), Liberals (22%), and Conservatives (16%), though a Synopsis poll showed the CAQ closing to within one point. Seat models project the PQ winning a plurality in the low-to-mid 40s with wide ranges reflecting multi-party competition and francophone vote concentration. Traders have priced the sub-50 seat band highest because the party’s efficiency gains since 2022 by-elections remain vulnerable to CAQ regional recovery, Liberal strength on Montreal Island, and potential PCQ inroads near Quebec City, while the PQ’s sovereignty referendum pledge has not consolidated broader support. The campaign’s opening days have introduced volatility without shifting the core outlook for a minority outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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