OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24–40 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption overtaking consumer segments and a booming ads business, underpins the 55.2% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ IPO closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion private valuation, reaffirmed by its August 2026 employee tender offer, combined with CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion floor, has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Traders appear to price in sustained AI sector multiples near 35x sales despite heavy losses, with the low 7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting broad consensus on eventual public-market access amid favorable risk appetite for frontier AI names.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.5T+ 55.2%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.4%
750B–1T 9%
$185,898 KL.
$185,898 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
13%
1.25T–1.5T
14%
1.5T+
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
7%
1.5T+ 55.2%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.4%
750B–1T 9%
$185,898 KL.
$185,898 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$16,441 KL.
<1%
500–750B
$17,327 KL.
1%
750B–1T
$32,287 KL.
9%
1T–1.25T
$23,245 KL.
13%
1.25T–1.5T
$13,813 KL.
14%
1.5T+
$44,960 KL.
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,824 KL.
7%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24–40 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption overtaking consumer segments and a booming ads business, underpins the 55.2% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ IPO closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion private valuation, reaffirmed by its August 2026 employee tender offer, combined with CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion floor, has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Traders appear to price in sustained AI sector multiples near 35x sales despite heavy losses, with the low 7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting broad consensus on eventual public-market access amid favorable risk appetite for frontier AI names.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$185,898Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24–40 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption overtaking consumer segments and a booming ads business, underpins the 55.2% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ IPO closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion private valuation, reaffirmed by its August 2026 employee tender offer, combined with CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion floor, has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Traders appear to price in sustained AI sector multiples near 35x sales despite heavy losses, with the low 7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting broad consensus on eventual public-market access amid favorable risk appetite for frontier AI names.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$185,898Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24–40 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption overtaking consumer segments and a booming ads business, underpins the 55.2% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ IPO closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion private valuation, reaffirmed by its August 2026 employee tender offer, combined with CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on at least a $1 trillion floor, has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Traders appear to price in sustained AI sector multiples near 35x sales despite heavy losses, with the low 7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflecting broad consensus on eventual public-market access amid favorable risk appetite for frontier AI names.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp