**The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the National Assembly.** Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ holding steady near 29% support, ahead of the CAQ at 23-24%, the PLQ at 20-22%, the PCQ at 15%, and QS at 10-11%, with little movement in the past week. This edge stems from stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable regional distribution that translates into superior seat projections, despite a closely divided popular vote. The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette, has gained ground on economic and trade issues amid U.S. tariff pressures but trails overall, while voter desire for change favors the opposition. Models currently assign the PQ an 80%+ chance of securing the most seats, often in a minority scenario, with the CAQ retaining a secondary but reduced path. Upcoming debates and late-campaign developments could still influence final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 75%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$893,986 KL.
$893,986 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
75%
CAQ
25%
PLQ
2%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 75%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$893,986 KL.
$893,986 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$121,282 KL.
75%
CAQ
$137,457 KL.
25%
PLQ
$123,958 KL.
2%
PCQ
$247,243 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 KL.
<1%
QS
$106,523 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the National Assembly.** Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ holding steady near 29% support, ahead of the CAQ at 23-24%, the PLQ at 20-22%, the PCQ at 15%, and QS at 10-11%, with little movement in the past week.
This edge stems from stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable regional distribution that translates into superior seat projections, despite a closely divided popular vote. The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette, has gained ground on economic and trade issues amid U.S. tariff pressures but trails overall, while voter desire for change favors the opposition. Models currently assign the PQ an 80%+ chance of securing the most seats, often in a minority scenario, with the CAQ retaining a secondary but reduced path. Upcoming debates and late-campaign developments could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$893,986Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the National Assembly.** Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ holding steady near 29% support, ahead of the CAQ at 23-24%, the PLQ at 20-22%, the PCQ at 15%, and QS at 10-11%, with little movement in the past week.
This edge stems from stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable regional distribution that translates into superior seat projections, despite a closely divided popular vote. The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette, has gained ground on economic and trade issues amid U.S. tariff pressures but trails overall, while voter desire for change favors the opposition. Models currently assign the PQ an 80%+ chance of securing the most seats, often in a minority scenario, with the CAQ retaining a secondary but reduced path. Upcoming debates and late-campaign developments could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$893,986Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the National Assembly.** Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ holding steady near 29% support, ahead of the CAQ at 23-24%, the PLQ at 20-22%, the PCQ at 15%, and QS at 10-11%, with little movement in the past week. This edge stems from stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable regional distribution that translates into superior seat projections, despite a closely divided popular vote. The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette, has gained ground on economic and trade issues amid U.S. tariff pressures but trails overall, while voter desire for change favors the opposition. Models currently assign the PQ an 80%+ chance of securing the most seats, often in a minority scenario, with the CAQ retaining a secondary but reduced path. Upcoming debates and late-campaign developments could still influence final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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