The closely contested race for first place in Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats centers on Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL), whose polling support remains within the margin of error of recent surveys amid high undecided shares. A late-August Quaest poll showed Amin at 19% (23% on first vote), Carlos Bolsonaro at 16% (21%), and de Toni at 12%, reflecting fragmented conservative support after Carlos transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and joined the PL ticket alongside de Toni, prompting Amin to align instead with the PSD-led opposition slate. Trader pricing mirrors these narrow gaps and the influence of local identity appeals versus national-name recognition, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and further polling or campaign events likely to widen separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Esperidião Amin 33.3%
Carlos Bolsonaro 31%
Carol de Toni 28%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter <1%
$23,686 KL.
$23,686 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Esperidião Amin
33%
Carlos Bolsonaro
31%
Carol de Toni
28%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Carol
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Esperidião Amin 33.3%
Carlos Bolsonaro 31%
Carol de Toni 28%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter <1%
$23,686 KL.
$23,686 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Esperidião Amin
$2,713 KL.
33%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$6,744 KL.
31%
Carol de Toni
$7,409 KL.
28%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$680 KL.
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$1,088 KL.
<1%
Carol
$761 KL.
<1%
Décio Lima
$643 KL.
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$666 KL.
<1%
Lunelli
$540 KL.
<1%
Marcos Dorval
$562 KL.
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$770 KL.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$645 KL.
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$465 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested race for first place in Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats centers on Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL), whose polling support remains within the margin of error of recent surveys amid high undecided shares. A late-August Quaest poll showed Amin at 19% (23% on first vote), Carlos Bolsonaro at 16% (21%), and de Toni at 12%, reflecting fragmented conservative support after Carlos transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and joined the PL ticket alongside de Toni, prompting Amin to align instead with the PSD-led opposition slate. Trader pricing mirrors these narrow gaps and the influence of local identity appeals versus national-name recognition, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and further polling or campaign events likely to widen separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,686Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested race for first place in Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats centers on Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL), whose polling support remains within the margin of error of recent surveys amid high undecided shares. A late-August Quaest poll showed Amin at 19% (23% on first vote), Carlos Bolsonaro at 16% (21%), and de Toni at 12%, reflecting fragmented conservative support after Carlos transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and joined the PL ticket alongside de Toni, prompting Amin to align instead with the PSD-led opposition slate. Trader pricing mirrors these narrow gaps and the influence of local identity appeals versus national-name recognition, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and further polling or campaign events likely to widen separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$23,686Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested race for first place in Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats centers on Esperidião Amin (PP), Carlos Bolsonaro (PL), and Carol de Toni (PL), whose polling support remains within the margin of error of recent surveys amid high undecided shares. A late-August Quaest poll showed Amin at 19% (23% on first vote), Carlos Bolsonaro at 16% (21%), and de Toni at 12%, reflecting fragmented conservative support after Carlos transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and joined the PL ticket alongside de Toni, prompting Amin to align instead with the PSD-led opposition slate. Trader pricing mirrors these narrow gaps and the influence of local identity appeals versus national-name recognition, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and further polling or campaign events likely to widen separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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