Ukraine faces heightened domestic political tensions amid its ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s July 2026 cabinet reshuffle that removed reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, triggering widespread protests and military leadership changes. Fedorov has since publicly criticized governance, highlighted corruption risks to the war effort, and called for elections despite martial law restrictions, while anti-corruption agencies conducted raids on presidential aides and associates in August. These developments reflect internal power struggles, reform disputes, and public accountability pressures rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority, with trader consensus pricing a low probability of any coup attempt given Ukraine’s demonstrated civil society resilience and the absence of verified military or institutional moves against the elected leadership. Scheduled factors like potential fall political friction or external diplomatic visits could influence short-term sentiment, though constitutional barriers and wartime priorities limit escalation risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$169,817 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$169,817 KL.
December 31
$151,981 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces heightened domestic political tensions amid its ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s July 2026 cabinet reshuffle that removed reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, triggering widespread protests and military leadership changes. Fedorov has since publicly criticized governance, highlighted corruption risks to the war effort, and called for elections despite martial law restrictions, while anti-corruption agencies conducted raids on presidential aides and associates in August. These developments reflect internal power struggles, reform disputes, and public accountability pressures rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority, with trader consensus pricing a low probability of any coup attempt given Ukraine’s demonstrated civil society resilience and the absence of verified military or institutional moves against the elected leadership. Scheduled factors like potential fall political friction or external diplomatic visits could influence short-term sentiment, though constitutional barriers and wartime priorities limit escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$169,817Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces heightened domestic political tensions amid its ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s July 2026 cabinet reshuffle that removed reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, triggering widespread protests and military leadership changes. Fedorov has since publicly criticized governance, highlighted corruption risks to the war effort, and called for elections despite martial law restrictions, while anti-corruption agencies conducted raids on presidential aides and associates in August. These developments reflect internal power struggles, reform disputes, and public accountability pressures rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority, with trader consensus pricing a low probability of any coup attempt given Ukraine’s demonstrated civil society resilience and the absence of verified military or institutional moves against the elected leadership. Scheduled factors like potential fall political friction or external diplomatic visits could influence short-term sentiment, though constitutional barriers and wartime priorities limit escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$169,817Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Ukraine faces heightened domestic political tensions amid its ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s July 2026 cabinet reshuffle that removed reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, triggering widespread protests and military leadership changes. Fedorov has since publicly criticized governance, highlighted corruption risks to the war effort, and called for elections despite martial law restrictions, while anti-corruption agencies conducted raids on presidential aides and associates in August. These developments reflect internal power struggles, reform disputes, and public accountability pressures rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority, with trader consensus pricing a low probability of any coup attempt given Ukraine’s demonstrated civil society resilience and the absence of verified military or institutional moves against the elected leadership. Scheduled factors like potential fall political friction or external diplomatic visits could influence short-term sentiment, though constitutional barriers and wartime priorities limit escalation risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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