Xi Jinping’s systematic purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members have dismantled potential centers of opposition, with high-profile removals including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026 continuing into September. These actions, officially tied to anti-corruption enforcement, have installed loyalists across the Central Military Commission and reduced the institutional capacity for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Trader consensus at 96.5% for no coup attempt reflects this entrenched control and the absence of verified plots despite occasional unconfirmed rumors. A major military setback, sharp economic downturn, or sudden leadership health event could still open narrow windows for internal friction before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
$155,524 KL.
$155,524 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$155,524 KL.
$155,524 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s systematic purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members have dismantled potential centers of opposition, with high-profile removals including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026 continuing into September. These actions, officially tied to anti-corruption enforcement, have installed loyalists across the Central Military Commission and reduced the institutional capacity for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Trader consensus at 96.5% for no coup attempt reflects this entrenched control and the absence of verified plots despite occasional unconfirmed rumors. A major military setback, sharp economic downturn, or sudden leadership health event could still open narrow windows for internal friction before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$155,524Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s systematic purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members have dismantled potential centers of opposition, with high-profile removals including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026 continuing into September. These actions, officially tied to anti-corruption enforcement, have installed loyalists across the Central Military Commission and reduced the institutional capacity for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Trader consensus at 96.5% for no coup attempt reflects this entrenched control and the absence of verified plots despite occasional unconfirmed rumors. A major military setback, sharp economic downturn, or sudden leadership health event could still open narrow windows for internal friction before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$155,524Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s systematic purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members have dismantled potential centers of opposition, with high-profile removals including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026 continuing into September. These actions, officially tied to anti-corruption enforcement, have installed loyalists across the Central Military Commission and reduced the institutional capacity for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Trader consensus at 96.5% for no coup attempt reflects this entrenched control and the absence of verified plots despite occasional unconfirmed rumors. A major military setback, sharp economic downturn, or sudden leadership health event could still open narrow windows for internal friction before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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