Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and overseen appointments since succeeding his father following the February 28, 2026, assassination, yet he has made no verified public appearances, videos, or audio addresses in the ensuing six months. Iranian authorities attribute the absence to security risks amid the ongoing conflict, while analysts note possible health effects from injuries sustained in the attack and a shift toward more collective decision-making involving the Revolutionary Guard. Recent regime efforts include September 2026 interviews from in-laws highlighting his interests in technology and film, plus presidential statements affirming he remains in authority, though these have not included live sightings. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for a public appearance, driven by the established pattern of controlled messaging and tight protection around the leadership.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,171,860 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
3%
10月31日
8%
12月31日
20%
$7,171,860 交易量
9月30日
$429,617 交易量
3%
10月31日
$15,459 交易量
8%
12月31日
$607,577 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and overseen appointments since succeeding his father following the February 28, 2026, assassination, yet he has made no verified public appearances, videos, or audio addresses in the ensuing six months. Iranian authorities attribute the absence to security risks amid the ongoing conflict, while analysts note possible health effects from injuries sustained in the attack and a shift toward more collective decision-making involving the Revolutionary Guard. Recent regime efforts include September 2026 interviews from in-laws highlighting his interests in technology and film, plus presidential statements affirming he remains in authority, though these have not included live sightings. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for a public appearance, driven by the established pattern of controlled messaging and tight protection around the leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$7,171,860結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and overseen appointments since succeeding his father following the February 28, 2026, assassination, yet he has made no verified public appearances, videos, or audio addresses in the ensuing six months. Iranian authorities attribute the absence to security risks amid the ongoing conflict, while analysts note possible health effects from injuries sustained in the attack and a shift toward more collective decision-making involving the Revolutionary Guard. Recent regime efforts include September 2026 interviews from in-laws highlighting his interests in technology and film, plus presidential statements affirming he remains in authority, though these have not included live sightings. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for a public appearance, driven by the established pattern of controlled messaging and tight protection around the leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$7,171,860結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETMojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and overseen appointments since succeeding his father following the February 28, 2026, assassination, yet he has made no verified public appearances, videos, or audio addresses in the ensuing six months. Iranian authorities attribute the absence to security risks amid the ongoing conflict, while analysts note possible health effects from injuries sustained in the attack and a shift toward more collective decision-making involving the Revolutionary Guard. Recent regime efforts include September 2026 interviews from in-laws highlighting his interests in technology and film, plus presidential statements affirming he remains in authority, though these have not included live sightings. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for a public appearance, driven by the established pattern of controlled messaging and tight protection around the leadership.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions