Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 內塔尼亞胡在… ？
地緣政治·中東

內塔尼亞胡在… ？

icon for 內塔尼亞胡在… ？
地緣政治·中東

內塔尼亞胡在… ？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$124,322,147 交易量

2026-12-31
賺 3.25% 收益
Polymarket

$124,322,147 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$2,468,578 交易量

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu's position as Israeli prime minister faces its clearest test in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, widely viewed as a referendum on his leadership amid ongoing security challenges and coalition strains.** Polls in mid-September project his right-religious bloc at roughly 54 seats—short of the 61 needed for a majority—while opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together hover near or above that threshold, with Arab lists adding further fragmentation. Recent catalysts include a Haaretz report alleging he received pre-October 7 warnings and criticism over the handling of conflicts with Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran. Post-election coalition negotiations could extend into December or beyond, during which Netanyahu would remain in a caretaker role; outcomes hinge on whether his bloc secures enough partners or the opposition unites without Arab parties. Late shifts in turnout, smaller-party thresholds, or security events could still alter bloc totals before voting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$124,322,147
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu's position as Israeli prime minister faces its clearest test in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, widely viewed as a referendum on his leadership amid ongoing security challenges and coalition strains.** Polls in mid-September project his right-religious bloc at roughly 54 seats—short of the 61 needed for a majority—while opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together hover near or above that threshold, with Arab lists adding further fragmentation. Recent catalysts include a Haaretz report alleging he received pre-October 7 warnings and criticism over the handling of conflicts with Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran. Post-election coalition negotiations could extend into December or beyond, during which Netanyahu would remain in a caretaker role; outcomes hinge on whether his bloc secures enough partners or the opposition unites without Arab parties. Late shifts in turnout, smaller-party thresholds, or security events could still alter bloc totals before voting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$124,322,147
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

相關

icon for 莫迪會在2026年12月31日前下台嗎？

莫迪會在2026年12月31日前下台嗎？

6%
是
icon for 特朗普會在2026年12月31日之前辭職嗎？

特朗普會在2026年12月31日之前辭職嗎？

3%
是
icon for 內塔尼亞胡會在9月30日前退出以色列大選嗎？

內塔尼亞胡會在9月30日前退出以色列大選嗎？

1%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡在… ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 53%, followed by "3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" has generated $124.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡在… ？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" is "12月31日" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡在… ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.