Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 95%
Elizeu Aguiar 1.8%
Ravenna da Inclusão 1.7%
朱里蒂教授 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯
95%
Elizeu Aguiar
2%
Ravenna da Inclusão
2%
朱里蒂教授
1%
盧爾德絲·梅洛
1%
吉斯瓦爾多教授
1%
聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧
1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
1%
Geraldo Carvalho
1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
古斯塔沃·費若
<1%
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 95%
Elizeu Aguiar 1.8%
Ravenna da Inclusão 1.7%
朱里蒂教授 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯
$1,304 交易量
95%
Elizeu Aguiar
$243 交易量
2%
Ravenna da Inclusão
$222 交易量
2%
朱里蒂教授
$235 交易量
1%
盧爾德絲·梅洛
$317 交易量
1%
吉斯瓦爾多教授
$232 交易量
1%
聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧
$232 交易量
1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
$232 交易量
1%
Geraldo Carvalho
$248 交易量
1%
Joel Rodrigues
$248 交易量
<1%
古斯塔沃·費若
$263 交易量
<1%
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$3,773結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,773結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETRafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions