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icon for 「黃金時段」開幕週末票房

「黃金時段」開幕週末票房

icon for 「黃金時段」開幕週末票房

「黃金時段」開幕週末票房

2200萬+ 28%

1900萬-2200萬 28%

1300萬-1600萬 18%

1600萬-1900萬 18%

Polymarket
最新

2200萬+ 28%

1900萬-2200萬 28%

1300萬-1600萬 18%

1600萬-1900萬 18%

Polymarket
最新

低於一千萬

$136 交易量

8%

1,000萬-1,300萬

$71 交易量

15%

1300萬-1600萬

$162 交易量

18%

1600萬-1900萬

$40 交易量

18%

1900萬-2200萬

$80 交易量

28%

2200萬+

$165 交易量

28%

This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime**, the A24 psychological thriller starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen of *To Catch a Predator*, opens September 25 amid modest pre-release tracking of roughly $10–15 million. Trader sentiment reflects a tight race between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus buckets because early Venice reviews are mixed—praising Pattinson’s intense, meta performance while noting tonal challenges with the R-rated material on sexual predation and TV-industry obsession. A24’s prestige positioning, the film’s real-event basis, and final-trailer momentum provide upside, yet the adult themes and fall timing limit broad appeal compared with family or horror titles. Key swing factors include final critical consensus, word-of-mouth from the Venice bow, and competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and animated fare the same weekend. The market’s near-even split across mid-teen to low-20s ranges captures the uncertainty typical for an auteur-driven drama without strong genre hooks.

This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$654
結束日期
2026-09-27
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime**, the A24 psychological thriller starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen of *To Catch a Predator*, opens September 25 amid modest pre-release tracking of roughly $10–15 million. Trader sentiment reflects a tight race between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus buckets because early Venice reviews are mixed—praising Pattinson’s intense, meta performance while noting tonal challenges with the R-rated material on sexual predation and TV-industry obsession. A24’s prestige positioning, the film’s real-event basis, and final-trailer momentum provide upside, yet the adult themes and fall timing limit broad appeal compared with family or horror titles. Key swing factors include final critical consensus, word-of-mouth from the Venice bow, and competition from Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and animated fare the same weekend. The market’s near-even split across mid-teen to low-20s ranges captures the uncertainty typical for an auteur-driven drama without strong genre hooks.

This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$654
結束日期
2026-09-27
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"「黃金時段」開幕週末票房" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1900萬-2200萬" at 28%, followed by "2200萬+" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"「黃金時段」開幕週末票房" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "「黃金時段」開幕週末票房," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "「黃金時段」開幕週末票房" is "1900萬-2200萬" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2200萬+" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "「黃金時段」開幕週末票房" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.