Recent polling during the early stages of the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a lead for first place while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground and the Parti Libéral du Québec has lost support. This volatility keeps the contest for second place tight between the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities. The PLQ benefits from concentrated backing in Montreal and among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas the CAQ draws more broadly outside urban centers and has improved among francophones and older voters. The Parti Québécois trails in second-place odds given its frontrunner status, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain far behind. Scheduled debates and further regional polling could shift these dynamics before October 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克自由黨 42%
CAQ 36%
PQ 23%
PCQ <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魁北克自由黨
42%
CAQ
36%
PQ
23%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
魁北克自由黨 42%
CAQ 36%
PQ 23%
PCQ <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魁北克自由黨
$3,403 交易量
42%
CAQ
$1,752 交易量
36%
PQ
$1,136 交易量
23%
PCQ
$618 交易量
1%
QS
$1,136 交易量
<1%
PVQ
$829 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early stages of the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a lead for first place while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground and the Parti Libéral du Québec has lost support. This volatility keeps the contest for second place tight between the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities. The PLQ benefits from concentrated backing in Montreal and among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas the CAQ draws more broadly outside urban centers and has improved among francophones and older voters. The Parti Québécois trails in second-place odds given its frontrunner status, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain far behind. Scheduled debates and further regional polling could shift these dynamics before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,874結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early stages of the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a lead for first place while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground and the Parti Libéral du Québec has lost support. This volatility keeps the contest for second place tight between the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities. The PLQ benefits from concentrated backing in Montreal and among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas the CAQ draws more broadly outside urban centers and has improved among francophones and older voters. The Parti Québécois trails in second-place odds given its frontrunner status, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain far behind. Scheduled debates and further regional polling could shift these dynamics before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$8,874結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRecent polling during the early stages of the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a lead for first place while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground and the Parti Libéral du Québec has lost support. This volatility keeps the contest for second place tight between the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning them the highest implied probabilities. The PLQ benefits from concentrated backing in Montreal and among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas the CAQ draws more broadly outside urban centers and has improved among francophones and older voters. The Parti Québécois trails in second-place odds given its frontrunner status, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain far behind. Scheduled debates and further regional polling could shift these dynamics before October 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions