Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of five to six points over the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ near 29% and the CAQ around 23-24%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an approximately 80% chance of securing the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to competitive ridings and the CAQ's stronger support among older voters. The campaign, underway since late August, has seen limited movement in recent surveys, with the PQ benefiting from voter fatigue with the CAQ government on issues including healthcare and living costs. The Liberals trail further back, while smaller parties hold minimal shares. This distribution underpins trader pricing for a PQ plurality outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克黨 76%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 22%
魁北克自由黨 1.8%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$898,275 交易量
$898,275 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
76%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
22%
魁北克自由黨
2%
魁北克保守黨
<1%
魁團
<1%
魁北克綠黨
<1%
魁北克黨 76%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 22%
魁北克自由黨 1.8%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$898,275 交易量
$898,275 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
$122,962 交易量
76%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
$137,982 交易量
22%
魁北克自由黨
$124,367 交易量
2%
魁北克保守黨
$248,918 交易量
<1%
魁團
$106,523 交易量
<1%
魁北克綠黨
$157,522 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of five to six points over the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ near 29% and the CAQ around 23-24%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an approximately 80% chance of securing the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to competitive ridings and the CAQ's stronger support among older voters. The campaign, underway since late August, has seen limited movement in recent surveys, with the PQ benefiting from voter fatigue with the CAQ government on issues including healthcare and living costs. The Liberals trail further back, while smaller parties hold minimal shares. This distribution underpins trader pricing for a PQ plurality outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$898,275結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of five to six points over the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ near 29% and the CAQ around 23-24%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an approximately 80% chance of securing the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to competitive ridings and the CAQ's stronger support among older voters. The campaign, underway since late August, has seen limited movement in recent surveys, with the PQ benefiting from voter fatigue with the CAQ government on issues including healthcare and living costs. The Liberals trail further back, while smaller parties hold minimal shares. This distribution underpins trader pricing for a PQ plurality outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$898,275結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRecent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of five to six points over the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ near 29% and the CAQ around 23-24%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an approximately 80% chance of securing the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely due to competitive ridings and the CAQ's stronger support among older voters. The campaign, underway since late August, has seen limited movement in recent surveys, with the PQ benefiting from voter fatigue with the CAQ government on issues including healthcare and living costs. The Liberals trail further back, while smaller parties hold minimal shares. This distribution underpins trader pricing for a PQ plurality outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions