Moonshot's dominant 97.3% market-implied odds reflect its recent Kimi K3 release and specialized K2.7 Code model, which have posted leading or near-leading results on Code Arena fullstack web development tasks, Kimi Webdev Bench, and agentic coding suites like ProgramBench and SWE-Marathon through August 2026. These open-weight models excel in long-horizon frontend, UI, and 3D/webGL workflows, supported by frequent Kimi Code CLI updates and strong third-party evaluations ahead of competitors. Traders view this as durable skin-in-the-game consensus on practical web dev capabilities. A late competitor model drop, revised Arena leaderboard, or regulatory disruption to Moonshot's ecosystem could still shift the outcome before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Moonshot 97.3%
Anthropic 3.1%
騰訊 <1%
Poolside <1%
$118,367 交易量
$118,367 交易量
2026-08-31
Moonshot
97%
Anthropic
3%
騰訊
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
<1%
小米
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Moonshot 97.3%
Anthropic 3.1%
騰訊 <1%
Poolside <1%
$118,367 交易量
$118,367 交易量
2026-08-31
Moonshot
$43,092 交易量
97%
Anthropic
$25,394 交易量
3%
騰訊
$1,123 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$574 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$772 交易量
<1%
OpenAI
$9,919 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$6,498 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$8,904 交易量
<1%
Meta
$2,625 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$665 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$7,210 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,295 交易量
<1%
$3,192 交易量
<1%
小米
$2,816 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,629 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$659 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's dominant 97.3% market-implied odds reflect its recent Kimi K3 release and specialized K2.7 Code model, which have posted leading or near-leading results on Code Arena fullstack web development tasks, Kimi Webdev Bench, and agentic coding suites like ProgramBench and SWE-Marathon through August 2026. These open-weight models excel in long-horizon frontend, UI, and 3D/webGL workflows, supported by frequent Kimi Code CLI updates and strong third-party evaluations ahead of competitors. Traders view this as durable skin-in-the-game consensus on practical web dev capabilities. A late competitor model drop, revised Arena leaderboard, or regulatory disruption to Moonshot's ecosystem could still shift the outcome before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
交易量
$118,367結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's dominant 97.3% market-implied odds reflect its recent Kimi K3 release and specialized K2.7 Code model, which have posted leading or near-leading results on Code Arena fullstack web development tasks, Kimi Webdev Bench, and agentic coding suites like ProgramBench and SWE-Marathon through August 2026. These open-weight models excel in long-horizon frontend, UI, and 3D/webGL workflows, supported by frequent Kimi Code CLI updates and strong third-party evaluations ahead of competitors. Traders view this as durable skin-in-the-game consensus on practical web dev capabilities. A late competitor model drop, revised Arena leaderboard, or regulatory disruption to Moonshot's ecosystem could still shift the outcome before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$118,367結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ETMoonshot's dominant 97.3% market-implied odds reflect its recent Kimi K3 release and specialized K2.7 Code model, which have posted leading or near-leading results on Code Arena fullstack web development tasks, Kimi Webdev Bench, and agentic coding suites like ProgramBench and SWE-Marathon through August 2026. These open-weight models excel in long-horizon frontend, UI, and 3D/webGL workflows, supported by frequent Kimi Code CLI updates and strong third-party evaluations ahead of competitors. Traders view this as durable skin-in-the-game consensus on practical web dev capabilities. A late competitor model drop, revised Arena leaderboard, or regulatory disruption to Moonshot's ecosystem could still shift the outcome before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions