Anthropic’s commanding 88.5% implied probability stems from its Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, consistently occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior human preference votes on competition-style problems and chain-of-thought reasoning. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have delivered measurable gains in step-by-step mathematical explanations that outpace GPT-5 series and Gemini models on this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away at end-September 2026, the short timeline leaves limited scope for reversal absent a high-impact surprise release, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s current edge in large language model math capabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 10%
Google 2.7%
Z.ai <1%
$40,418 交易量
$40,418 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
89%
OpenAI
10%
3%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 10%
Google 2.7%
Z.ai <1%
$40,418 交易量
$40,418 交易量
2026-09-30
Anthropic
$10,482 交易量
89%
OpenAI
$13,937 交易量
10%
$3,826 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$1,831 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$527 交易量
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 交易量
<1%
Baidu
$642 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 交易量
<1%
Meta
$469 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$499 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$458 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$466 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$450 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$449 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$459 交易量
<1%
Tencent
$609 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$518 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$599 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding 88.5% implied probability stems from its Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, consistently occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior human preference votes on competition-style problems and chain-of-thought reasoning. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have delivered measurable gains in step-by-step mathematical explanations that outpace GPT-5 series and Gemini models on this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away at end-September 2026, the short timeline leaves limited scope for reversal absent a high-impact surprise release, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s current edge in large language model math capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$40,418結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding 88.5% implied probability stems from its Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, consistently occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior human preference votes on competition-style problems and chain-of-thought reasoning. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have delivered measurable gains in step-by-step mathematical explanations that outpace GPT-5 series and Gemini models on this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away at end-September 2026, the short timeline leaves limited scope for reversal absent a high-impact surprise release, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s current edge in large language model math capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$40,418結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETAnthropic’s commanding 88.5% implied probability stems from its Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, consistently occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through superior human preference votes on competition-style problems and chain-of-thought reasoning. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have delivered measurable gains in step-by-step mathematical explanations that outpace GPT-5 series and Gemini models on this benchmark. With resolution just weeks away at end-September 2026, the short timeline leaves limited scope for reversal absent a high-impact surprise release, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s current edge in large language model math capabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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