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icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$760,062 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$760,062 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$124,536 交易量

12%

icon for 日本

日本

$48,996 交易量

10%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$62,747 交易量

8%

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$38,555 交易量

8%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$28,035 交易量

7%

icon for 德國

德國

$130,094 交易量

6%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$79,970 交易量

6%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$46,785 交易量

11%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$173,415 交易量

4%

icon for Israel

Israel

$297 交易量

4%

icon for 美國

美國

$26,632 交易量

3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Most countries likely to recognize Palestinian statehood did so during the September 2025 UNGA wave, when the UK, Canada, Australia, France, and several others brought the total to roughly 157–158 of 193 UN members.** Since then, diplomatic momentum has stalled amid rising West Bank settler violence, settlement expansion including E1 tenders, and a weakened Palestinian Authority, with little tangible progress toward statehood on the ground. Recent joint statements from 12 Western nations, including Canada, France, and the UK, reaffirm support for a two-state solution and signal possible trade measures on settlements, yet no new recognitions have followed. Remaining holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan continue to condition any move on negotiated outcomes, PA reforms, hostage releases, and Hamas’s exclusion from governance. BRICS declarations and UN processes offer rhetorical support but have not triggered additional formal recognitions ahead of 2027.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$760,062
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Most countries likely to recognize Palestinian statehood did so during the September 2025 UNGA wave, when the UK, Canada, Australia, France, and several others brought the total to roughly 157–158 of 193 UN members.** Since then, diplomatic momentum has stalled amid rising West Bank settler violence, settlement expansion including E1 tenders, and a weakened Palestinian Authority, with little tangible progress toward statehood on the ground. Recent joint statements from 12 Western nations, including Canada, France, and the UK, reaffirm support for a two-state solution and signal possible trade measures on settlements, yet no new recognitions have followed. Remaining holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan continue to condition any move on negotiated outcomes, PA reforms, hostage releases, and Hamas’s exclusion from governance. BRICS declarations and UN processes offer rhetorical support but have not triggered additional formal recognitions ahead of 2027.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$760,062
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "紐西蘭" at 12%, followed by "希臘" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" has generated $760.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is "紐西蘭" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "希臘" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.