Traders assign an 84.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027 due to stalled normalization talks amid persistent regional conditions. Saudi Arabia, viewed as the pivotal potential signatory, continues to link any agreement to an irreversible pathway toward Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced in 2026 statements even as the United States has tied proposed civilian nuclear cooperation to accession. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while Syria has pursued limited dialogue without formal steps and other candidates such as Oman, Qatar, and Indonesia have shown no movement. Ongoing tensions, including post-conflict dynamics and competing regional alignments, have kept momentum low through mid-2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
16% 機率
$300,558 交易量
$300,558 交易量
2026-12-31
是
16% 機率
$300,558 交易量
$300,558 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 84.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027 due to stalled normalization talks amid persistent regional conditions. Saudi Arabia, viewed as the pivotal potential signatory, continues to link any agreement to an irreversible pathway toward Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced in 2026 statements even as the United States has tied proposed civilian nuclear cooperation to accession. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while Syria has pursued limited dialogue without formal steps and other candidates such as Oman, Qatar, and Indonesia have shown no movement. Ongoing tensions, including post-conflict dynamics and competing regional alignments, have kept momentum low through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$300,558結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 84.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027 due to stalled normalization talks amid persistent regional conditions. Saudi Arabia, viewed as the pivotal potential signatory, continues to link any agreement to an irreversible pathway toward Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced in 2026 statements even as the United States has tied proposed civilian nuclear cooperation to accession. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while Syria has pursued limited dialogue without formal steps and other candidates such as Oman, Qatar, and Indonesia have shown no movement. Ongoing tensions, including post-conflict dynamics and competing regional alignments, have kept momentum low through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$300,558結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETTraders assign an 84.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027 due to stalled normalization talks amid persistent regional conditions. Saudi Arabia, viewed as the pivotal potential signatory, continues to link any agreement to an irreversible pathway toward Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced in 2026 statements even as the United States has tied proposed civilian nuclear cooperation to accession. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while Syria has pursued limited dialogue without formal steps and other candidates such as Oman, Qatar, and Indonesia have shown no movement. Ongoing tensions, including post-conflict dynamics and competing regional alignments, have kept momentum low through mid-2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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