Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.25亿-1.3亿 23%
1.15亿-1.2亿 20%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.10亿-1.15亿 15%
$28,182 交易量
$28,182 交易量
2026-11-02
少于8500万
1%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
3%
1亿-1.05亿
6%
1.05亿-1.1亿
7%
1.10亿-1.15亿
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
20%
1.2亿-1.25亿
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
23%
1.3亿+
5%
1.25亿-1.3亿 23%
1.15亿-1.2亿 20%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.10亿-1.15亿 15%
$28,182 交易量
$28,182 交易量
2026-11-02
少于8500万
$603 交易量
1%
8500万-9000万
$609 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,723 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$380 交易量
3%
1亿-1.05亿
$1,195 交易量
6%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$931 交易量
7%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$4,475 交易量
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$4,662 交易量
20%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$8,991 交易量
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$3,301 交易量
23%
1.3亿+
$1,312 交易量
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$28,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETThe US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$28,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETTrader consensus clusters around 115-130 million House votes for the November 2026 midterms, reflecting elevated but uncertain participation. Democratic primary turnout has exceeded 2022 levels in most states, signaling stronger opposition mobilization amid low presidential approval and economic concerns, while Republican efforts center on a Trump-focused convention and targeted outreach to low-propensity voters. Expanded mail and early voting infrastructure, plus higher youth registration, provide a higher structural floor than older midterms. Limited competitive districts and mixed base enthusiasm on affordability issues keep totals from spiking further. Late GOTV intensity, weather, and any last-minute national events could shift final counts within the favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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