Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, her consistent reelection margins including 68.6% in 2024, and decisive primary victories. Bonamici secured 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5% but enters the November 3 general with limited fundraising and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in this northwest Oregon district suggest limited pathways for the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,452 交易量
$27,452 交易量
2026-11-02
苏珊·博纳米奇（民主党）
96%
芭芭拉·卡尔（共和党）
3%
$27,452 交易量
$27,452 交易量
2026-11-02
苏珊·博纳米奇（民主党）
$10,566 交易量
96%
芭芭拉·卡尔（共和党）
$16,887 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, her consistent reelection margins including 68.6% in 2024, and decisive primary victories. Bonamici secured 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5% but enters the November 3 general with limited fundraising and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in this northwest Oregon district suggest limited pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$27,452结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, her consistent reelection margins including 68.6% in 2024, and decisive primary victories. Bonamici secured 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5% but enters the November 3 general with limited fundraising and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in this northwest Oregon district suggest limited pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,452结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, her consistent reelection margins including 68.6% in 2024, and decisive primary victories. Bonamici secured 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5% but enters the November 3 general with limited fundraising and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could alter dynamics, though historical patterns in this northwest Oregon district suggest limited pathways for the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题