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icon for 亚马孙州州长选举获胜者

亚马孙州州长选举获胜者

icon for 亚马孙州州长选举获胜者

亚马孙州州长选举获胜者

奥马尔·阿齐兹 58%

教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫 26%

罗伯托·西达德 16.1%

吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,498 交易量

奥马尔·阿齐兹 58%

教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫 26%

罗伯托·西达德 16.1%

吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,498 交易量

icon for 奥马尔·阿齐兹

奥马尔·阿齐兹

$8,872 交易量

58%

icon for 教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫

教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫

$5,367 交易量

26%

icon for 罗伯托·西达德

罗伯托·西达德

$4,178 交易量

16%

icon for 吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯

吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯

$1,851 交易量

1%

icon for 卡博·达西奥洛

卡博·达西奥洛

$1,543 交易量

<1%

icon for 大卫·阿尔梅达

大卫·阿尔梅达

$1,911 交易量

<1%

icon for 以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库

以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库

$1,776 交易量

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz maintains a lead in Amazonas gubernatorial polling due to his prior service as governor and senator, along with established name recognition across the state. Roberto Cidade, the current governor installed via indirect election in May 2026 after the prior administration's resignations, benefits from incumbency resources but faces competition from Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida in a fragmented field. Recent surveys through late August show Aziz ahead in the first round while the three main challengers remain in technical ties for runoff qualification, with undecided voters exceeding 60 percent in many samples. Alliances formalized in July and August, combined with ongoing campaign events in Manaus and interior municipalities, continue to shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$25,498
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz maintains a lead in Amazonas gubernatorial polling due to his prior service as governor and senator, along with established name recognition across the state. Roberto Cidade, the current governor installed via indirect election in May 2026 after the prior administration's resignations, benefits from incumbency resources but faces competition from Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida in a fragmented field. Recent surveys through late August show Aziz ahead in the first round while the three main challengers remain in technical ties for runoff qualification, with undecided voters exceeding 60 percent in many samples. Alliances formalized in July and August, combined with ongoing campaign events in Manaus and interior municipalities, continue to shape voter consolidation ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$25,498
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

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常见问题

"亚马孙州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥马尔·阿齐兹",概率为 58%,其次是"教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 58¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 58%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"亚马孙州州长选举获胜者"已产生 $25.5K 的总交易量(自Aug 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"亚马孙州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"亚马孙州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"奥马尔·阿齐兹",概率为 58%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 58%。紧随其后的结果是"教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"亚马孙州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。