Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥马尔·阿齐兹 53%
罗伯托·西达德 28.4%
教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫 18%
大卫·阿尔梅达 1.2%
$15,807 交易量
$15,807 交易量
2026-10-04
奥马尔·阿齐兹
53%
罗伯托·西达德
23%
教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫
18%
大卫·阿尔梅达
9%
卡博·达西奥洛
<1%
吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯
<1%
以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库
<1%
奥马尔·阿齐兹 53%
罗伯托·西达德 28.4%
教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫 18%
大卫·阿尔梅达 1.2%
$15,807 交易量
$15,807 交易量
2026-10-04
奥马尔·阿齐兹
$6,137 交易量
53%
罗伯托·西达德
$3,065 交易量
23%
教授玛丽娅·杜·卡尔莫
$3,332 交易量
18%
大卫·阿尔梅达
$1,409 交易量
9%
卡博·达西奥洛
$523 交易量
<1%
吉尔伯托·瓦斯康塞洛斯
$807 交易量
<1%
以赛尔·蒙杜鲁库
$583 交易量
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
交易量
$15,807结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETThe Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$15,807结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETRecent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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