Recent late-August 2026 polls for the Amazonas Senate race show Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall with 25-32% in combined or first-vote scenarios, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) remain in technical ties or close contention for second place at 10-19%. High undecided shares (12-17% or more in spontaneous responses) and regional fragmentation sustain the closeness, with Neto drawing stronger Manaus support and Braga or Lima performing better in the interior. Elevated rejection for some frontrunners and the October 4 first-round election date further limit separation in trader consensus. Additional polling releases or campaign shifts before voting could alter positioning among these clustered contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 49%
爱德华多·布拉加 23.3%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 7.9%
威尔逊·利马 7%
$15,139 交易量
$15,139 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
49%
爱德华多·布拉加
18%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
8%
威尔逊·利马
7%
教授埃瓦尼
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
<1%
戴尔森·科雷亚
<1%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
<1%
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托 49%
爱德华多·布拉加 23.3%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥 7.9%
威尔逊·利马 7%
$15,139 交易量
$15,139 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·阿尔贝托·内托
$5,164 交易量
49%
爱德华多·布拉加
$2,854 交易量
18%
普利尼奥·瓦莱里奥
$600 交易量
8%
威尔逊·利马
$3,652 交易量
7%
教授埃瓦尼
$740 交易量
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$728 交易量
<1%
埃万德罗·德·奥利维拉
$474 交易量
<1%
戴尔森·科雷亚
$472 交易量
<1%
伊斯梅尔·蒙杜鲁库
$454 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August 2026 polls for the Amazonas Senate race show Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall with 25-32% in combined or first-vote scenarios, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) remain in technical ties or close contention for second place at 10-19%. High undecided shares (12-17% or more in spontaneous responses) and regional fragmentation sustain the closeness, with Neto drawing stronger Manaus support and Braga or Lima performing better in the interior. Elevated rejection for some frontrunners and the October 4 first-round election date further limit separation in trader consensus. Additional polling releases or campaign shifts before voting could alter positioning among these clustered contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
交易量
$15,139结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August 2026 polls for the Amazonas Senate race show Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall with 25-32% in combined or first-vote scenarios, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) remain in technical ties or close contention for second place at 10-19%. High undecided shares (12-17% or more in spontaneous responses) and regional fragmentation sustain the closeness, with Neto drawing stronger Manaus support and Braga or Lima performing better in the interior. Elevated rejection for some frontrunners and the October 4 first-round election date further limit separation in trader consensus. Additional polling releases or campaign shifts before voting could alter positioning among these clustered contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$15,139结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETRecent late-August 2026 polls for the Amazonas Senate race show Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall with 25-32% in combined or first-vote scenarios, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) remain in technical ties or close contention for second place at 10-19%. High undecided shares (12-17% or more in spontaneous responses) and regional fragmentation sustain the closeness, with Neto drawing stronger Manaus support and Braga or Lima performing better in the interior. Elevated rejection for some frontrunners and the October 4 first-round election date further limit separation in trader consensus. Additional polling releases or campaign shifts before voting could alter positioning among these clustered contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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