Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats stem primarily from reciprocal diplomatic disputes and security incidents. In mid-August 2026, France ordered two Iranian diplomats to leave following Iran's declaration of two French embassy staff as persona non grata over allegations of interference in internal affairs and violations of the Vienna Convention. Kuwait similarly expelled two Iranian diplomats after a missile strike on its airport, citing ongoing threats despite a prior ceasefire. Lebanon has maintained pressure on Iran's ambassador despite extensions of residency. These actions reflect tit-for-tat responses to espionage concerns, proxy conflicts, and bilateral frictions rather than broad escalations, with trader focus on whether further formal declarations will occur amid cooling or renewed tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,802 交易量
2026-08-31
8月31日
4%
9月30日
20%
10月31日
13%
$28,802 交易量
8月31日
$27,434 交易量
4%
9月30日
$294 交易量
20%
10月31日
$1,074 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats stem primarily from reciprocal diplomatic disputes and security incidents. In mid-August 2026, France ordered two Iranian diplomats to leave following Iran's declaration of two French embassy staff as persona non grata over allegations of interference in internal affairs and violations of the Vienna Convention. Kuwait similarly expelled two Iranian diplomats after a missile strike on its airport, citing ongoing threats despite a prior ceasefire. Lebanon has maintained pressure on Iran's ambassador despite extensions of residency. These actions reflect tit-for-tat responses to espionage concerns, proxy conflicts, and bilateral frictions rather than broad escalations, with trader focus on whether further formal declarations will occur amid cooling or renewed tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$28,802结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats stem primarily from reciprocal diplomatic disputes and security incidents. In mid-August 2026, France ordered two Iranian diplomats to leave following Iran's declaration of two French embassy staff as persona non grata over allegations of interference in internal affairs and violations of the Vienna Convention. Kuwait similarly expelled two Iranian diplomats after a missile strike on its airport, citing ongoing threats despite a prior ceasefire. Lebanon has maintained pressure on Iran's ambassador despite extensions of residency. These actions reflect tit-for-tat responses to espionage concerns, proxy conflicts, and bilateral frictions rather than broad escalations, with trader focus on whether further formal declarations will occur amid cooling or renewed tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,802结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETRecent expulsions of Iranian diplomats stem primarily from reciprocal diplomatic disputes and security incidents. In mid-August 2026, France ordered two Iranian diplomats to leave following Iran's declaration of two French embassy staff as persona non grata over allegations of interference in internal affairs and violations of the Vienna Convention. Kuwait similarly expelled two Iranian diplomats after a missile strike on its airport, citing ongoing threats despite a prior ceasefire. Lebanon has maintained pressure on Iran's ambassador despite extensions of residency. These actions reflect tit-for-tat responses to espionage concerns, proxy conflicts, and bilateral frictions rather than broad escalations, with trader focus on whether further formal declarations will occur amid cooling or renewed tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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