Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于绿党 45%
德国选择党 22%
SPD 15%
基民盟 14.0%
$12,739 交易量
$12,739 交易量
2026-09-20
绿党
45%
德国选择党
22%
SPD
14%
基民盟
19%
Linke
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
FW
1%
绿党 45%
德国选择党 22%
SPD 15%
基民盟 14.0%
$12,739 交易量
$12,739 交易量
2026-09-20
绿党
$6,738 交易量
45%
德国选择党
$4,163 交易量
22%
SPD
$344 交易量
14%
基民盟
$182 交易量
19%
Linke
$738 交易量
7%
BSW
$212 交易量
1%
FDP
$154 交易量
1%
FW
$209 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
交易量
$12,739结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$12,739结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETRecent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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