The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 7th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang—over Republican contenders, setting up an all-Democratic November general election. This outcome aligns with the district's solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others labeling it safe or solid for the party. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats incorporates these primary results, historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the Sacramento-area seat, and the absence of viable Republican general-election paths. Scenarios that could still shift the party outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,782 交易量
$12,782 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$12,782 交易量
$12,782 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$6,634 交易量
97%
共和党
$6,147 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 7th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang—over Republican contenders, setting up an all-Democratic November general election. This outcome aligns with the district's solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others labeling it safe or solid for the party. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats incorporates these primary results, historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the Sacramento-area seat, and the absence of viable Republican general-election paths. Scenarios that could still shift the party outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$12,782结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 7th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang—over Republican contenders, setting up an all-Democratic November general election. This outcome aligns with the district's solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others labeling it safe or solid for the party. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats incorporates these primary results, historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the Sacramento-area seat, and the absence of viable Republican general-election paths. Scenarios that could still shift the party outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,782结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThe June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 7th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang—over Republican contenders, setting up an all-Democratic November general election. This outcome aligns with the district's solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others labeling it safe or solid for the party. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats incorporates these primary results, historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the Sacramento-area seat, and the absence of viable Republican general-election paths. Scenarios that could still shift the party outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题