Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent Taipei mayor seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds a commanding position in trader pricing due to sustained high approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen (Shen Bo-yang), such as 56-30 percent margins earlier in the year. Taipei's partisan lean favors the KMT, reinforced by Chiang's focus on municipal governance and limited recent disruptions to his campaign. Shen, nominated in May after legislative service, remains relatively untested in citywide races and faces structural challenges in a blue-leaning electorate. Minor candidates like Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Late shifts could still emerge from scandals, turnout surges, or national events before registration closes and voting occurs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于蒋万安 93%
沈伯洋 7.4%
郭锡 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蒋万安
93%
沈伯洋
7%
郭锡
<1%
蒋万安 93%
沈伯洋 7.4%
郭锡 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蒋万安
$4,921 交易量
93%
沈伯洋
$1,651 交易量
7%
郭锡
$473 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent Taipei mayor seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds a commanding position in trader pricing due to sustained high approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen (Shen Bo-yang), such as 56-30 percent margins earlier in the year. Taipei's partisan lean favors the KMT, reinforced by Chiang's focus on municipal governance and limited recent disruptions to his campaign. Shen, nominated in May after legislative service, remains relatively untested in citywide races and faces structural challenges in a blue-leaning electorate. Minor candidates like Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Late shifts could still emerge from scandals, turnout surges, or national events before registration closes and voting occurs.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,045结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent Taipei mayor seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds a commanding position in trader pricing due to sustained high approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen (Shen Bo-yang), such as 56-30 percent margins earlier in the year. Taipei's partisan lean favors the KMT, reinforced by Chiang's focus on municipal governance and limited recent disruptions to his campaign. Shen, nominated in May after legislative service, remains relatively untested in citywide races and faces structural challenges in a blue-leaning electorate. Minor candidates like Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Late shifts could still emerge from scandals, turnout surges, or national events before registration closes and voting occurs.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$7,045结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETChiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent Taipei mayor seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds a commanding position in trader pricing due to sustained high approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling leads over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen (Shen Bo-yang), such as 56-30 percent margins earlier in the year. Taipei's partisan lean favors the KMT, reinforced by Chiang's focus on municipal governance and limited recent disruptions to his campaign. Shen, nominated in May after legislative service, remains relatively untested in citywide races and faces structural challenges in a blue-leaning electorate. Minor candidates like Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Late shifts could still emerge from scandals, turnout surges, or national events before registration closes and voting occurs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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