Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 57-40 margin there in 2024. Harris, first elected in 2010, secured his party’s nomination with more than 80 percent in the June primary and benefits from superior fundraising and established name recognition across the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won his primary in June, faces structural headwinds in a district that has supported Republican House candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. An October 13 debate and the November 3 general election remain the key remaining milestones, though late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issue would be required to narrow the gap substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$59,821 交易量
$59,821 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
6%
$59,821 交易量
$59,821 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
$33,551 交易量
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
$26,269 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 57-40 margin there in 2024. Harris, first elected in 2010, secured his party’s nomination with more than 80 percent in the June primary and benefits from superior fundraising and established name recognition across the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won his primary in June, faces structural headwinds in a district that has supported Republican House candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. An October 13 debate and the November 3 general election remain the key remaining milestones, though late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issue would be required to narrow the gap substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$59,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 57-40 margin there in 2024. Harris, first elected in 2010, secured his party’s nomination with more than 80 percent in the June primary and benefits from superior fundraising and established name recognition across the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won his primary in June, faces structural headwinds in a district that has supported Republican House candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. An October 13 debate and the November 3 general election remain the key remaining milestones, though late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issue would be required to narrow the gap substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 57-40 margin there in 2024. Harris, first elected in 2010, secured his party’s nomination with more than 80 percent in the June primary and benefits from superior fundraising and established name recognition across the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who won his primary in June, faces structural headwinds in a district that has supported Republican House candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. An October 13 debate and the November 3 general election remain the key remaining milestones, though late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issue would be required to narrow the gap substantially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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