April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,975 交易量
$32,975 交易量
2026-11-02
艾普丽尔·麦克莱恩·德莱尼（民主党）
95%
罗宾·菲克（共和党）
6%
$32,975 交易量
$32,975 交易量
2026-11-02
艾普丽尔·麦克莱恩·德莱尼（民主党）
$20,115 交易量
95%
罗宾·菲克（共和党）
$12,860 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$32,975结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,975结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETApril McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District due to its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and her status as the incumbent following a June 2026 primary victory over former Representative David Trone. The district’s partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favor Democrats, limiting the path for Republican nominee Robin Ficker despite his primary win. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 94.5% implied probability for Delaney, consistent with historical performance in similar districts. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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