The September 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election, scheduled for 18 September, features a fragmented field of candidates from Samoa’s main parties and independents following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s May result on bribery convictions. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, FAST entrants Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, and several other listed contenders compete in a constituency that has held three polls in roughly a year amid party defections and legal challenges. Nominations closed in late August with no withdrawals altering the ballot, leaving traders viewing the outcome as highly uncertain due to vote splitting across multiple viable options and the absence of a dominant local figure. Final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, and any late endorsements or disputes could shift support among the closely matched frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.3%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
15%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
4%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.3%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
15%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
The September 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election, scheduled for 18 September, features a fragmented field of candidates from Samoa’s main parties and independents following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the prior winner’s May result on bribery convictions. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, FAST entrants Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, and several other listed contenders compete in a constituency that has held three polls in roughly a year amid party defections and legal challenges. Nominations closed in late August with no withdrawals altering the ballot, leaving traders viewing the outcome as highly uncertain due to vote splitting across multiple viable options and the absence of a dominant local figure. Final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, and any late endorsements or disputes could shift support among the closely matched frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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